Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Senator Obama overseas - polispeak and votes

So Senator Obama has gone overseas to visit Iraq for the first time in years. His first trip to that nation was done with little fanfare and lasted less than 48 hours. This time he will spend another 48 hours in the company of 3 broadcast news agencies, dozens of reporters, and supplied with help by reportedly 300 foreign policy advisors.

Now tell me this isn’t a farce.

It’s a whirlwind tour of the Middle East with enough press corps to equate to several fire teams, not counting the hordes of military soldiers that will be flanking the whole group. But the question is can Senator Obama learn anything new? Can he find out any first-hand information about where Iraq stands and what America should do in the near future?

Well in truth neither candidate has a great position on Iraq. And as noted by a recent USAToday editorial

“It's difficult, for example, to imagine a President McCain insisting on keeping U.S. troops in Iraq indefinitely if Iraq's government demands that they leave. Al-Maliki is acknowledging the reality that most Iraqis and most Iraqi politicians want U.S. forces out, at least as soon as they are confident that their own government can protect them.

At the same time, it's equally difficult to imagine a President Obama insisting on an inflexible withdrawal timetable if that means squandering security gains won with great American sacrifice. Though Obama has repeatedly insisted on a timetable, he has pointedly not said that every U.S. troop will be gone when the timetable ends. In fact, he has promised to leave a "residual force" of undefined size in Iraq, and carefully left himself an escape hatch in case the situation worsens. "You've got to make sure the country doesn't collapse," he says.”


So what are the realities of the situation then?

Well for Senator Obama I would think they include the following:

Senator Obama is the Democratic Party line. His votes are not only partisan, they are the extreme left of his party. Thus he was a strong backer of the comments by Harry Reid



Of course Harry Reid was wrong. The surge has worked as anyone with eyes can see. And now Senator Obama has to find a way to tactfully state the Reid and Pelosi were off their rockers. But he can’t say this in a way that agrees with General Petreaus (an enemy of strong Obama supporter MoveOn.org – which would make them enemies of the U.S. government no?) or the Republican Party, or Senator McCain who has visited Iraq 6 times and actually has a frame of reference on the events there.

Senator Obama must avoid making it seem like his trip is a polispeak ploy. It’s obvious to everyone that this trip is not a Congressional fact finding trip but a means to allay the fact that he has no international presence or experience. Senator Obama is spending 1 week to create the impression that he is knowledgeable of international facts, and Presidential in the manner that he acquires them.

His whole goal is to gain votes on the backs of soldiers that are following the orders of the Commander-n-Chief. Thus by standing near a soldier in Iraq or Afghanistan he looks Presidential.

Of course if the trip looks like the blatant posturing it is, then he will get a negative backlash. You can’t look Presidential standing on the bodies of American soldiers. You are obviously spinning polispeak when insurgents act up as you proclaim them defeated and our job done.

Thirdly Obama wants to impress Europe. Both because of the fact that so many Americans have roots in Europe and that our economy is directly tied with the fate of those nations.

“It will not be a speech about campaign issues,” an adviser said. “He’s not going to address campaign issues in terms of other candidates, it is not a speech about American politics, and so it’s not a campaign event. We’re not trying to recruit support from the crowds that are coming. It’s not a campaign event.

The point of the outdoor rally is that the senator wants to speak directly to our allies and to the people of Europe and the people of the world and it would be inconsistent to do that and try to limit the attendance for that event. There’s a great deal of interest in his visit. We want to accommodate that interest.”


In fact this is a campaign speech. He is campaigning for the support of world leaders and corporations – who would then lend support to him and hopefully impress centrist Americans that would otherwise avoid his liberal policies.

If this is not a speech about American politics, what the hell is he going to say? He may not frame the speech in terms of McCain, but he will in terms of America and so it’s just another stump speech. Take out the polispeak and that’s all it is, but if his campaign makes it any more obvious it will backfire.

Will this all work? Well it depends. If you are of the mind of say Pete Hegseth maybe not

“Obama frequently decries the danger of “dogmatists” and “ideologues” in public policy, yet he himself has proved consistently uninterested in putting himself in situations where he might be confronted with the hard complexities of this war.”


If you are of a mind as say Peter Beinart then maybe

“This is not to say the security improvements in Iraq are illusory. It’s just that the war’s realities are too elusive to grasp on a brief trip led by people with a vested interest.”


Overall I have one overriding thought, this is political candy meant to do one thing – elect Senator Obama. There is almost nothing Senator Obama can learn with the media following him like puppies and the speed at which he is traveling. He isn’t there to learn anything substantive (lest he have an opinion that does not fall in line with Democratic Party lines, or worse contradict his far-left campaign speeches – more than he already has), he is there to look good. In the words of Fernando

“It's better to look good than to feel good."


And damn if Senator Obama isn’t being made to look good. But I wonder if all the bluster will lead to an Obama Presidency, and if it does will we be able to say this quote afterwards

“I hope when you are my age, you'll be able to say - as I have been able to say: We lived in freedom. Our lives were a statement, not an apology." Ronald Reagan

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2 Comments:

At 3:11 AM, August 19, 2008 , Blogger M. Vass said...

Comment from Presidential Race Blog, where I am a contributing author.

Ken Jackson,

Very short comment. If your logic about Barack Obama’s voting records being strongly party biased is true, and for the most part it has been, and if you have any interest in being fair, you should also give equal weight to the fact that Sen. McCain voted along Republican party lines over 95% of the time during the past 4 years.


Ken Jackson,

One other comment. To date, I have not heard a single politician, reporter or commentator ask the most fundamental of questions before discussing whether “the surge” worked or not, which is, what do you mean when you us the term “the surge”. If I heard the two candidates correctly, Sen. McCain said “the surge” (i.e. troop buildup) worked because the violence decreased and Sen. Obama said the troop buildup certainly helped reduce the violence but there were other contributing factors such as the Sunni Awakening (financed by US tax dollars), the Shite decision to have their militias stand down (Malaki is backed by this group and the militias are still armed) and a bit more (and not as much as we would like) backbone being shown by the Iraqi government. I believe Sen. Obama’s definition of “the surge” appears to be much wider in scope and his definition of success seems to be the achievement of the goals stated in the legislation that authorized the troup buildup as well as the attendant goals, objectives and benchmarks, many of which have not been met. While 15 of the 18 benchmarks have bee either fully or partially met, “surge” related goals like the final composition of Iraq, oil revenue sharing, constitutional rewrite, etc. have not been met. If Sen MCCain’s narrow definition of “the surge” is the one used, you could argue that “the surge”, to date, has been working. However, if you accept Sen. Obama’s definition, which is closer to the legislation that authorized “the surge”, then you would have to conclude (1) “the surge” is still a work in progress that has only been partially successful and successful only as a first step in a much more comprehensive process, (2) that while violence is down, the military portion of “the surge” is only partially responsible for the reduction in violence and that iff the US stops its payments to both the Shites and the Sunnis, violence would go right back to the pre-surge levels and (3)without a resolution to the goals, objectives and benchmarks stated in the legislation that authorized “the surge”, “the surge” has not and is not working. Until both men reach a common definition of what “the surge” means and moreover what it is, the arguements over whether “the surge” is working or not is simply a big puff of political hot air. Forget the “surge”, let’s start talking about ways we can take care of the 208,000+ homeless veterans, how we can deliver better medical care to soldiers with severe physical and mental injuries from the Iraq and Afganistan wars, how we can better take care of the families of our fallen brothers, how we can help our brave soldiers overcome drug addiction, alcholism and other dependencies and how we help them resolve the issues that currently drive too many of our military men and women to end the very lives they put on the line for our freedom. So, why haven’t you talked about Sen. McCain’s many votes against legislation that would take care of our troops and veterans, including legislation to protect our troops better in Iraq and Afganistan. As a veteran, I would rather have Sen. Obama watching my back than Sen. McCain because I don’t feel I can trust a man who turns his back on fellow soldiers as often as Sen. McCain has.

 
At 6:14 AM, August 19, 2008 , Blogger M. Vass said...

Ken, please view my post Ken Jackson asks about Senator McCain and votes for veterans which I hope addresses the points you make and the questions asked.

 

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